Election Day Looms

From left: Michael Bloomberg, Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren

It is eight long months until Election Day, assuming we can survive the daily barrage of events and the clash of personalities. We know who the Republican candidate for president will be so the only mystery is who will be the Democratic Party standard-bearer. As a way of helping you figure out who the Democratic candidate will be, it is safe to say that one of them has a first or last name with the letter “B.”

To eliminate any guessing it is going to be either Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden or Michael Bloomberg. You may have your own favorite whose name doesn’t contain a “b,” but I am following the odds makers and my own personal instincts, some of which have been wrong year-after-year. Hopefully, the winner will have the smarts to pick a running mate with no “b” name.

Let’s start with Bernie Sanders. At this point in time, he is becoming a front-runner thanks to the support of the 18 to 29 crowd. He has some minority community support, but his far left policies will not be able to get support from the majority of the Democratic Party. He has President Donald Trump firmly in his corner, which should be a liability for some. If he is still a viable candidate at the nominating convention in July, he will face bitter opposition from mainstream Democrats, who believe he is unelectable.

Former Vice President Joe Biden appears to be the safe choice for most Democrats. He is favored by many people for his experience and could take over the White House without skipping a beat. A poor showing in Iowa and New Hampshire will slow down his momentum and if he is unable to raise additional funds, he could be out of the campaign just after March 3, when several states cast ballots.

New York City’s former Mayor Mike Bloomberg has entered the race much later than the other potential candidates, but an infusion of $225 million and the hiring of more than 1,000 paid workers, has made him a serious contender. His polling numbers are rising each week, as both Democrats and Republicans, are sending a message that they could be swayed to vote for him. Bloomberg might be the only Democrat who could stop Sanders.

The other noteworthy “B” is Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who accumulated a bundle of cash and some ardent supporters. He’s a fresh face on the campaign trail and has won over supporters from all age groups. As of March 1, he dropped out of the race, but political experts believe it’s not the last of the small town mayor, who made history as the first openly gay presidential candidate.

To paraphrase Shakespeare, “to B or not to B, that is the question.” So next time you’re asked who will be Trump’s challenger, it’s safe to say that the chosen candidate has a “b” in his name.

Editor’s note: This article was published in print on March 4, 2020.

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Jerry Kremer
Former State Assemblyman Jerry Kremer is a columnist for Long Island Weekly and partner at Ruskin Moscou Faltischek in Uniondale. The views expressed are not necessarily those of the publisher or Anton Media Group.

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